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TABLE OF CONTENTS
(The Starting Page Number is Listed for each Chapter
to help the reader determine its content.)
- TABLE OF CONTENTS (Starting Page vii)
- LIST OF FIGURES (Starting Page xi)
- LIST OF TABLES (Starting Page xiii)
- PREFACE (Starting Page xv)
- ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS (Pages xix through xxi)
PART I - WHAT IS TECHNICAL DUE DILIGENCE?
- CHAPTER 1 - INTRODUCTION (Starting Page 1)
- The Definition of Technical Due Diligence
- The Process of Technical Due Diligence
- Technical Systems Analysis
- Technical Risk Analysis
- CHAPTER 2 - TECHNOLOGIES, INVESTORS, BUSINESS, AND TECHNICAL DUE DILIGENCE (Starting Page 18)
- What is a Technical Project?
- The Sources of Technical Projects
- How Good is a Technical Project?
- Bringing Technical Concepts to the Market
- The Business Plan and Who Writes It
- Investors in Technical Projects
- CHAPTER 3 - TECHNICAL SYSTEMS ANALYSIS (Starting Page 37)
- The Technical Scope of the Project
- Evaluating the Business Plan in Technical Systems Analysis
- Non-Technical Information on the Product or Service
- Competition in the Market Place
- The Importance of Mrketing & Sales
- Legal & Regulatory Issues
- Economic Factors and Technical Due Diligence
- Other Elemetns of Technical Systems Analysis in the Business Plan
- CHAPTER 4 - TECHNICAL RISK ANALYSIS USING MONTE CARLO SIMULATION (Starting Page 51)
- What is Risk Analysis?
- The New Paradigm
- The Investor-Selected Metric
- The Risk-Based Investment Factor (RBIF)
- Input Data to Distribution Functions
- The Calculations and Their Meaning
- CHAPTER 5 - THE TECHNICAL DUE DILIGENCE TEAM (Starting Page 78)
- The Project Manager
- Qualifications of the Project Manager
- Responsibilities of the Project Manager
- The Due Diligence Team
- When is A Due Diligence Team Required?
- Qualifications of Team Memebers
- CHAPTER 6 - WORKING EXAMPLES (Starting Page 86)
- Using MCGRA
- The CD
- MCGRA
- Example 1
- Example 2
PART II - THE TOOLS FOR TECHNICAL DUE DILIGENCE
- CHAPTER 7 - PROCESS ANALYSIS (Starting Page 159)
- The Single Process System
- Multiple Process Systems
- Components in Series
- Components in Parallel
- Unrevealed Features
- Failures Due to Coincidence
- Process Analysis
- Fault Tree Analysis
- Event Tree Analysis
- Size & Scale
- Capital & Operating Costs
- CHAPTER 8 - ERROR ANALYSIS (Starting Page 197)
- How is Error Related to Risk?
- Propagation of Errors Using Differential Method
- Propagation of Errors Using Monte Carlo Simulation
- Uncertainty in Future Predictions
- CHAPTER 9 - MATHEMATICAL SIMULATION AND THE MONTE CARLO METHOD (Starting Page 207)
- Some Basic Definitions
- Mathematical Simulation
- Types of Simulators
- Uses of Simulation
- The Monte Carlo Risk Analysis
- Historical Perspective
- The Monte Carlo Method
- Random Number Generation
- Variance Reduction and Antithetic Variables
- The advantage of Distributions
- Monte Carlo Sample
- CHAPTER 10 - BASIC PROBABILITY WITH BINOMIAL & POISSON DISTRIBUTIONS (Starting Page 235)
- Possibility, Probability and the Toss of a Stupid coin
- Rolling Stupid Dice
- Binomial Distribution
- Poisson Distribution
- CHAPTER 11 - PROBABILITY AND DISCRETE NORMAL DISTRIBUTIONS (Starting Page 256)
- Defining the Terms
- Practical Use of Discrete Distributions
- CHAPTER 12 - PROBABILITY AND CONTINUOUS NORMAL DISTRIBUTIONS (Starting Page 272)
- Defining the Terms
- Practical Use of Continuous Distributions
- Normal Distributions
- The Variance and Standard Deviation
- So Many Distributions! - Which do I Use?
- CHAPTER 13 - TRIANGULAR AND OTHER DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONS (Starting Page 286)
- Triangular Distributions
- Probabilities
- Writing the Monte Carlo Program
- The Variance and Santdard Deviation
- Constant Distribution
- Bathtub Distribution
- CHAPTER 14 - GAUSSANGULAR DISTRIBUTIONTM (Starting Page 299)
- The "General Angular Distributions"
- Symmetrical Gaussangular Distribution
- Unsymmetrical Gausangular Distributions
- The Variance and Standard Deviation
- Writing the Monte Carlo Program
- Symmetrical Functions for Monte Carlo
- Unsymmetrical Functions for Monte Carlo
- INDEX (Starting Page 334)
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